Productivity gains in U.S.A. expected to continue

Articles-1

The White House and many of the nation’s top economists agree that productivity growth – which in recent years has been spurred by technology advances – will continue in coming years.

But there is debate over just how technology has improved productivity; whether the gains have been confined to just technology manufacturers or have spilled over into other sectors; and whether they will endure in the wake of a steep downturn in the stock market and signs of a rapid economic slowdown.

  • Productivity growth has been about 1.6 percentage points higher during the past five years than in the period 1973-1995.
  • In its last formal economic report this week, the Clinton White House is expected to say there have been substantial productivity spillovers outside the technology sector – and they will continue.
  • Robert Litan of the Brookings Institution and Alice Rivlin, a former Federal Reserve vice chairman, predict that Internet-related savings could range from $100 billion to $230 billion during the next five years – the sectors seeing the greatest benefits being health care and the trucking industry.

    Here are two examples of how innovative new technologies are helping particular industries raise productivity.

  • Computers could add $75 billion in value by routing trucks with fuller loads on more efficient routes.
  • Those engaged in retail trades can use computers to manage more efficiently their ordering, invoicing and supplies.

    Source: Steve Liesman, Productivity Gains Extend Beyond Technology Area, Wall Street Journal, January 8, 2001.

    For more on Productivity and Technology http://www.ncpa.org/pd/economy/econ9.html

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